Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion by March 31, closely tracking Bloomberg Billionaires Index's latest $644 billion reading—down nearly $10 billion intraday amid Tesla's (TSLA) share price close at $360.41 on March 27, a 0.4% daily drop and over 7% retreat from early March highs above $400. This erosion, tied to Musk's approximate 13% Tesla stake comprising over half his fortune, reflects profit-taking post-February's SpaceX-xAI merger at $1.25 trillion combined valuation, alongside EV sector headwinds like softening demand signals. Divergent trackers like Forbes ($810 billion as of March 27) highlight private asset valuation debates, but with Q1 delivery data looming post-resolution, traders anticipate limited rebound in final sessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<640 mds 47%
640-650 milliards 35%
650-660 mds 8%
680-690 milliards 4.6%
$487,989 Vol.
$487,989 Vol.
<640 mds
47%
640-650 milliards
37%
650-660 mds
8%
660-670 milliards
2%
670-680 milliards
3%
680-690 milliards
5%
690-700 milliards
1%
700-710 mds
3%
710 milliards+
4%
<640 mds 47%
640-650 milliards 35%
650-660 mds 8%
680-690 milliards 4.6%
$487,989 Vol.
$487,989 Vol.
<640 mds
47%
640-650 milliards
37%
650-660 mds
8%
660-670 milliards
2%
670-680 milliards
3%
680-690 milliards
5%
690-700 milliards
1%
700-710 mds
3%
710 milliards+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability for Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion by March 31, closely tracking Bloomberg Billionaires Index's latest $644 billion reading—down nearly $10 billion intraday amid Tesla's (TSLA) share price close at $360.41 on March 27, a 0.4% daily drop and over 7% retreat from early March highs above $400. This erosion, tied to Musk's approximate 13% Tesla stake comprising over half his fortune, reflects profit-taking post-February's SpaceX-xAI merger at $1.25 trillion combined valuation, alongside EV sector headwinds like softening demand signals. Divergent trackers like Forbes ($810 billion as of March 27) highlight private asset valuation debates, but with Q1 delivery data looming post-resolution, traders anticipate limited rebound in final sessions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes