Elon Musk predictions & odds

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Articles

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

$2m Vol.

$497k today

$278k Liq.

71

Ends in 5 months

5%

$2m Vol.

$497k today

$278k Liq.

71

Ends in 5 months

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$513k Vol.

$59.9k today

$43.1k Liq.

13

Ends in 9 days

90%

No release by January 31

$513k Vol.

$59.9k today

$43.1k Liq.

13

Ends in 9 days

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Elon Musk

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

$196k Vol.

$16.5k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

61%

<350k

$196k Vol.

$16.5k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$1m Vol.

$49.4k Liq.

92

Ends in almost 2 years

27%

$STAR

$1m Vol.

$49.4k Liq.

92

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$1m Vol.

$123k Liq.

28

Ends in almost 2 years

79%

1T+

$1m Vol.

$123k Liq.

28

Ends in almost 2 years

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Elon Musk

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$47.2k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

36%

5-6

$47.2k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Elon Musk

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$224k Vol.

$46.5k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

81%

>$1T

$224k Vol.

$46.5k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

Elon Musk

Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

$6.8k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

53%

$6.8k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released by...?

$495k Vol.

$19.0k Liq.

110

96%

April 20

$495k Vol.

$19.0k Liq.

110

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Elon Musk

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

$2m Vol.

$33.2k Liq.

376

28%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$33.2k Liq.

376

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$545k Vol.

$7.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 9 days

66%

Successful splash down?

$545k Vol.

$7.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 9 days

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$46.5k Vol.

$6.3k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

51%

$46.5k Vol.

$6.3k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

$213k Vol.

$21.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

54%

$213k Vol.

$21.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

Elon Musk

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

$13.4k Vol.

$6.1k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

83%

670b+

$13.4k Vol.

$6.1k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

Richest person on March 31?

$89.1k Vol.

$58.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

98%

Elon Musk

$89.1k Vol.

$58.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

$4.4k Vol.

$2.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

16%

$4.4k Vol.

$2.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Elon Musk

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$276k Vol.

$30.3k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

65%

Morgan Stanley

$276k Vol.

$30.3k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

$26.2k Vol.

$5.2k Liq.

8

Ends in 9 days

3%

$26.2k Vol.

$5.2k Liq.

8

Ends in 9 days

Grok 5 released by...?

Elon Musk

Grok 5 released by...?

$175k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

27

10%

March 31, 2026

$175k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

27

Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?

$8.1k Vol.

$1.7k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

26%

$8.1k Vol.

$1.7k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

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