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Politique·Célébrités

Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?

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Politique·Célébrités

Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?

$169,864 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$169,864 Vol.

Polymarket
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19%

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21%

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$14,183 Vol.

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11%

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10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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10%

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Mike Pence

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Beto O’Rourke

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4%

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MrBeast

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3%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major U.S. political figure has formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign before the end of 2026, leaving Polymarket traders betting on early signals like public flirtations, fundraising tours, and exploratory committees amid an open-seat race following President Trump's second term. Recent developments include Senator Rand Paul's March 27 statement considering a bid and February hints from former Vice President Kamala Harris ("I might"), yet trader consensus prices highest on Republican-aligned figures such as J.D. Vance (37-38% implied probability), Candace Owens (33%), Josh Hawley (23%), and Mark Kelly (22%), reflecting perceptions of GOP momentum and Democratic field uncertainty post-2024. The November 2026 midterms represent a pivotal upcoming event, with strong gubernatorial or Senate performers likely to trigger announcements and shift odds.

No major U.S. political figure has formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign before the end of 2026, leaving Polymarket traders betting on early signals like public flirtations, fundraising tours, and exploratory committees amid an open-seat race following President Trump's second term. Recent developments include Senator Rand Paul's March 27 statement considering a bid and February hints from former Vice President Kamala Harris ("I might"), yet trader consensus prices highest on Republican-aligned figures such as J.D. Vance (37-38% implied probability), Candace Owens (33%), Josh Hawley (23%), and Mark Kelly (22%), reflecting perceptions of GOP momentum and Democratic field uncertainty post-2024. The November 2026 midterms represent a pivotal upcoming event, with strong gubernatorial or Senate performers likely to trigger announcements and shift odds.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major U.S. political figure has formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign before the end of 2026, leaving Polymarket traders betting on early signals like public flirtations, fundraising tours, and exploratory committees amid an open-seat race following President Trump's second term. Recent developments include Senator Rand Paul's March 27 statement considering a bid and February hints from former Vice President Kamala Harris ("I might"), yet trader consensus prices highest on Republican-aligned figures such as J.D. Vance (37-38% implied probability), Candace Owens (33%), Josh Hawley (23%), and Mark Kelly (22%), reflecting perceptions of GOP momentum and Democratic field uncertainty post-2024. The November 2026 midterms represent a pivotal upcoming event, with strong gubernatorial or Senate performers likely to trigger announcements and shift odds.

No major U.S. political figure has formally announced a 2028 presidential campaign before the end of 2026, leaving Polymarket traders betting on early signals like public flirtations, fundraising tours, and exploratory committees amid an open-seat race following President Trump's second term. Recent developments include Senator Rand Paul's March 27 statement considering a bid and February hints from former Vice President Kamala Harris ("I might"), yet trader consensus prices highest on Republican-aligned figures such as J.D. Vance (37-38% implied probability), Candace Owens (33%), Josh Hawley (23%), and Mark Kelly (22%), reflecting perceptions of GOP momentum and Democratic field uncertainty post-2024. The November 2026 midterms represent a pivotal upcoming event, with strong gubernatorial or Senate performers likely to trigger announcements and shift odds.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 70+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Gretchen Whitmer » à 51%, suivi de « Josh Hawley » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 51¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » a généré $169.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 20, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 70+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » est « Gretchen Whitmer » à 51%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Josh Hawley » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.