Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 82.5% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, driven by recent retreats in key assets after post-election hype faded. Tesla shares, buoyed initially by Elon Musk's Trump alliance and Department of Government Efficiency role, surged above $400 but pulled back over 15% in the past week amid profit-taking, softening China EV sales, and delays in the robotaxi unveiling now pushed to October 2025. Dogecoin similarly cooled from $0.48 peaks, lacking sustained momentum without fresh Elon tweets. X platform's claimed user growth remains unverified amid advertiser pullbacks. With year-end deadlines looming, these setbacks solidify trader skepticism absent major catalysts like strong Tesla Q4 deliveries or xAI breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
Oui
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 82.5% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, driven by recent retreats in key assets after post-election hype faded. Tesla shares, buoyed initially by Elon Musk's Trump alliance and Department of Government Efficiency role, surged above $400 but pulled back over 15% in the past week amid profit-taking, softening China EV sales, and delays in the robotaxi unveiling now pushed to October 2025. Dogecoin similarly cooled from $0.48 peaks, lacking sustained momentum without fresh Elon tweets. X platform's claimed user growth remains unverified amid advertiser pullbacks. With year-end deadlines looming, these setbacks solidify trader skepticism absent major catalysts like strong Tesla Q4 deliveries or xAI breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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