Traders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
7% chance
$11,888 Vol.
$11,888 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
$11,888 Vol.
$11,888 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$11,888Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$11,888Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign just a 6.5% chance to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes by year-end, reflecting skepticism that Musk will simultaneously sustain or regain trillionaire status, welcome another child, and complete nine or more successful Starship orbital flights. Post-June SpaceX IPO volatility has driven sharp swings in Tesla and related valuations, while July 2026 flight tests demonstrated reusability gains but underscored persistent cadence and technical hurdles that make the launch threshold ambitious. No confirmed reports of additional Musk children have surfaced, further anchoring the strong No consensus. Still, accelerated Starship progress, AI-driven rebounds in xAI and Tesla valuations, or unexpected personal developments could shift the aggregated trader sentiment if they align before December.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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