Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 98.5% implied probability for "No" on Elon Musk acquiring Ryanair, stemming from a January 2026 public spat over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi where Musk's takeover tweets—"How much would it cost to buy you?" and suggestions to install a "Ryan" as CEO—were dismissed by Ryanair's Michael O'Leary as unfeasible under strict EU airline ownership rules mandating majority European control. No formal bids, financing announcements, or strategic synergies have emerged in the four months since, amid Musk's focus on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI priorities. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen regulatory exemptions or a hostile bid, though EU antitrust scrutiny and Ryanair's €25 billion-plus market cap pose formidable barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourElon Musk achètera-t-il Ryanair ?
Elon Musk achètera-t-il Ryanair ?
Oui
$3,288,289 Vol.
$3,288,289 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$3,288,289 Vol.
$3,288,289 Vol.
30 juin 2026
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 98.5% implied probability for "No" on Elon Musk acquiring Ryanair, stemming from a January 2026 public spat over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi where Musk's takeover tweets—"How much would it cost to buy you?" and suggestions to install a "Ryan" as CEO—were dismissed by Ryanair's Michael O'Leary as unfeasible under strict EU airline ownership rules mandating majority European control. No formal bids, financing announcements, or strategic synergies have emerged in the four months since, amid Musk's focus on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI priorities. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen regulatory exemptions or a hostile bid, though EU antitrust scrutiny and Ryanair's €25 billion-plus market cap pose formidable barriers.
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 16, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
Volume
$3,288,289Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 10:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 98.5% implied probability for "No" on Elon Musk acquiring Ryanair, stemming from a January 2026 public spat over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi where Musk's takeover tweets—"How much would it cost to buy you?" and suggestions to install a "Ryan" as CEO—were dismissed by Ryanair's Michael O'Leary as unfeasible under strict EU airline ownership rules mandating majority European control. No formal bids, financing announcements, or strategic synergies have emerged in the four months since, amid Musk's focus on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI priorities. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen regulatory exemptions or a hostile bid, though EU antitrust scrutiny and Ryanair's €25 billion-plus market cap pose formidable barriers.
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,288,289Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 10:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 98.5% implied probability for "No" on Elon Musk acquiring Ryanair, stemming from a January 2026 public spat over Starlink in-flight Wi-Fi where Musk's takeover tweets—"How much would it cost to buy you?" and suggestions to install a "Ryan" as CEO—were dismissed by Ryanair's Michael O'Leary as unfeasible under strict EU airline ownership rules mandating majority European control. No formal bids, financing announcements, or strategic synergies have emerged in the four months since, amid Musk's focus on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI priorities. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen regulatory exemptions or a hostile bid, though EU antitrust scrutiny and Ryanair's €25 billion-plus market cap pose formidable barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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