Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a June SpaceX IPO at 40.5% implied probability, propelled by recent tender offers valuing the company at over $350 billion and Starlink's surging revenue from satellite broadband expansion, which could enable a partial listing or spin-off. This edges out September (10.8%) and April (9.7%) as traders bet on mid-year liquidity amid record launch cadences and NASA contracts. However, Elon Musk's firm stance against an IPO until Mars missions prove reliable bolsters "No IPO before 2027" to 12.4%, reflecting skepticism over regulatory hurdles and capital needs; no S-1 filing has emerged, underscoring the speculative nature of these market-implied odds backed by real wagers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJuin 41%
Juillet 8.5%
Septembre 8.3%
Mai 6.0%
$66,869 Vol.
$66,869 Vol.
Mars
1%
Avril
10%
Mai
6%
Juin
41%
Juillet
9%
Août
8%
Septembre
11%
Octobre
4%
Novembre
9%
Décembre
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
13%
Juin 41%
Juillet 8.5%
Septembre 8.3%
Mai 6.0%
$66,869 Vol.
$66,869 Vol.
Mars
1%
Avril
10%
Mai
6%
Juin
41%
Juillet
9%
Août
8%
Septembre
11%
Octobre
4%
Novembre
9%
Décembre
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
13%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a June SpaceX IPO at 40.5% implied probability, propelled by recent tender offers valuing the company at over $350 billion and Starlink's surging revenue from satellite broadband expansion, which could enable a partial listing or spin-off. This edges out September (10.8%) and April (9.7%) as traders bet on mid-year liquidity amid record launch cadences and NASA contracts. However, Elon Musk's firm stance against an IPO until Mars missions prove reliable bolsters "No IPO before 2027" to 12.4%, reflecting skepticism over regulatory hurdles and capital needs; no S-1 filing has emerged, underscoring the speculative nature of these market-implied odds backed by real wagers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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