Perplexity's CEO explicitly ruled out an IPO before 2028 in March 2025, a stance that continues to anchor the 49% market-implied probability on no listing by that date. The company instead closed a $200 million private round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 while scaling annualized revenue to roughly $500 million by early 2026, demonstrating ample access to capital without public-market pressures. Traders therefore assign only modest odds to mid-range outcomes such as 50–75 billion or 40–50 billion, reflecting both the extended private runway typical for high-growth AI platforms and the absence of any recent regulatory or competitive catalyst that would force an earlier exit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028 49%
50–75 Md$ 21.4%
75–100 milliards 9.8%
<20 Mds$ 6.4%
$139,939 Vol.
$139,939 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<20 Mds$
6%
20–30 milliards
4%
30–40 milliards
6%
40–50 milliards
12%
50–75 Md$
17%
75–100 milliards
10%
Plus de 100 milliards
6%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
49%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028 49%
50–75 Md$ 21.4%
75–100 milliards 9.8%
<20 Mds$ 6.4%
$139,939 Vol.
$139,939 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<20 Mds$
$4,474 Vol.
6%
20–30 milliards
$5,889 Vol.
4%
30–40 milliards
$4,389 Vol.
6%
40–50 milliards
$4,192 Vol.
12%
50–75 Md$
$6,240 Vol.
17%
75–100 milliards
$3,386 Vol.
10%
Plus de 100 milliards
$4,870 Vol.
6%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
$106,499 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity's CEO explicitly ruled out an IPO before 2028 in March 2025, a stance that continues to anchor the 49% market-implied probability on no listing by that date. The company instead closed a $200 million private round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 while scaling annualized revenue to roughly $500 million by early 2026, demonstrating ample access to capital without public-market pressures. Traders therefore assign only modest odds to mid-range outcomes such as 50–75 billion or 40–50 billion, reflecting both the extended private runway typical for high-growth AI platforms and the absence of any recent regulatory or competitive catalyst that would force an earlier exit.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$139,939Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Perplexity's CEO explicitly ruled out an IPO before 2028 in March 2025, a stance that continues to anchor the 49% market-implied probability on no listing by that date. The company instead closed a $200 million private round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 while scaling annualized revenue to roughly $500 million by early 2026, demonstrating ample access to capital without public-market pressures. Traders therefore assign only modest odds to mid-range outcomes such as 50–75 billion or 40–50 billion, reflecting both the extended private runway typical for high-growth AI platforms and the absence of any recent regulatory or competitive catalyst that would force an earlier exit.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$139,939Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity's CEO explicitly ruled out an IPO before 2028 in March 2025, a stance that continues to anchor the 49% market-implied probability on no listing by that date. The company instead closed a $200 million private round at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025 while scaling annualized revenue to roughly $500 million by early 2026, demonstrating ample access to capital without public-market pressures. Traders therefore assign only modest odds to mid-range outcomes such as 50–75 billion or 40–50 billion, reflecting both the extended private runway typical for high-growth AI platforms and the absence of any recent regulatory or competitive catalyst that would force an earlier exit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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