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Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Market icon

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 68%

Google 21%

OpenAI 9%

xAI 3.1%

Polymarket

$11,654 Vol.

Anthropic 68%

Google 21%

OpenAI 9%

xAI 3.1%

Polymarket

$11,654 Vol.

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Anthropic

$1,192 Vol.

68%

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Google

$1,205 Vol.

21%

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

OpenAI

$740 Vol.

9%

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

xAI

$619 Vol.

3%

Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Meta

$634 Vol.

2%

Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Alibaba

$663 Vol.

2%

Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

DeepSeek

$1,223 Vol.

1%

Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Amazon

$595 Vol.

1%

Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Microsoft

$744 Vol.

<1%

Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Mistral

$750 Vol.

<1%

Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Meituan

$599 Vol.

<1%

Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

ByteDance

$745 Vol.

<1%

Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Moonshot

$612 Vol.

<1%

Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Z.ai

$610 Vol.

<1%

Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? icon

Baidu

$720 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 propelled its "thinking" variant to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena text leaderboard with style control on, achieving a leading 1505 Arena Elo score and dominating the top four spots, fueling trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability of holding #1 by May 31. Google follows at 21% amid Gemini model's steady gains narrowing the gap, while OpenAI lags at 9% despite GPT-5.4 variants, reflecting slower benchmark climbs. With six weeks to resolution, markets price in Anthropic's iteration speed versus potential disruptions from xAI or Meta releases, embodying crowdsourced wisdom from capital-at-risk bets on fleeting AI capability edges.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$11,654
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 propelled its "thinking" variant to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena text leaderboard with style control on, achieving a leading 1505 Arena Elo score and dominating the top four spots, fueling trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability of holding #1 by May 31. Google follows at 21% amid Gemini model's steady gains narrowing the gap, while OpenAI lags at 9% despite GPT-5.4 variants, reflecting slower benchmark climbs. With six weeks to resolution, markets price in Anthropic's iteration speed versus potential disruptions from xAI or Meta releases, embodying crowdsourced wisdom from capital-at-risk bets on fleeting AI capability edges.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$11,654
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Anthropic » à 68%, suivi de « Google » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) » a généré $11.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) » est « Anthropic » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Google » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.