Market icon
Tech·OpenAI

Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Market icon
Tech·OpenAI

Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé)

avr. 30

juin 30

avr. 30

juin 30

Anthropic 55%

Google 17%

OpenAI 10%

xAI 5.6%

Polymarket

$1,159,846 Vol.

Anthropic 55%

Google 17%

OpenAI 10%

xAI 5.6%

Polymarket

$1,159,846 Vol.

Market icon

Anthropic

$18,892 Vol.

55%

Market icon

Google

$10,373 Vol.

17%

Market icon

OpenAI

$44,013 Vol.

10%

Market icon

xAI

$8,671 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Microsoft

$1,231 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Z.ai

$305,547 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Meituan

$220,877 Vol.

3%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$178,631 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Alibaba

$128,093 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Meta

$482 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mistral

$43,898 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$197,584 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ByteDance

$829 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Baidu

$857 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$52 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a leading 56.5% implied probability of fielding the top AI model by June 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard—particularly in the Style Control On category—since its February 2026 release. This frontier large language model excels in advanced reasoning, coding, and long-context tasks, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (17%) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 iterations (10%), which have shown competitive but trailing benchmark scores. Recent April launches like Zhipu GLM-5.1 and DeepSeek V4 boosted those challengers to 2-3%, yet none displaced Claude amid the monthly model frenzy. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic's Claude Mythos 5 rollout, Google DeepMind updates, and xAI's Grok advancements, with leaderboard Elo shifts possible before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$1,159,846
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a leading 56.5% implied probability of fielding the top AI model by June 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard—particularly in the Style Control On category—since its February 2026 release. This frontier large language model excels in advanced reasoning, coding, and long-context tasks, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (17%) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 iterations (10%), which have shown competitive but trailing benchmark scores. Recent April launches like Zhipu GLM-5.1 and DeepSeek V4 boosted those challengers to 2-3%, yet none displaced Claude amid the monthly model frenzy. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic's Claude Mythos 5 rollout, Google DeepMind updates, and xAI's Grok advancements, with leaderboard Elo shifts possible before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$1,159,846
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Anthropic » à 56%, suivi de « Google » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 56¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé) » a généré $1.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 10, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé) », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est « Anthropic » à 56%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 56% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Google » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? (Contrôle de style activé) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.