Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$266,154 Vol.
$266,154 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
xAI
Non
ByteDance
Non
Baidu
Non
OpenAI
Non
Alibaba
Non
Moonshot
Non
DeepSeek
Non
Mistral
Non
Meituan
Non
Anthropic
Oui
Non
Amazon
Non
Z.ai
Non
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
Baidu <1%
$266,154 Vol.
$266,154 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
xAI
$10,586 Vol.
Non
ByteDance
$10,834 Vol.
Non
Baidu
$10,999 Vol.
Non
OpenAI
$51,753 Vol.
Non
Alibaba
$15,388 Vol.
Non
Moonshot
$24,635 Vol.
Non
DeepSeek
$28,614 Vol.
Non
Mistral
$9,907 Vol.
Non
Meituan
$9,170 Vol.
Non
Anthropic
$48,331 Vol.
Oui
$12,506 Vol.
Non
Amazon
$10,425 Vol.
Non
Z.ai
$23,007 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Volume
$266,154Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$266,154Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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