OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its "Spud" base model around March 25 has fueled trader consensus on an imminent GPT-5.5 release, potentially as early as mid-April, following the firm's rapid monthly cadence with GPT-5.4's rollout on March 5—enhanced for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks—and subsequent mini/nano variants by March 17. Spud incorporates two years of research breakthroughs, promising "big model smell" with intuitive capabilities in long-horizon problem-solving, amid resource shifts from Sora to accelerate deployment. Competitive pressures intensify with rumored April launches from xAI's Grok 5, Anthropic's Claude Mythos, and others, while an internal OpenAI model recently solved advanced Erdős math problems, signaling frontier progress. Traders eye official announcements or API integrations as key resolution triggers, though post-training timelines and naming remain unconfirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$300,529 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
15 avril
23%
30 avril
44%
30 juin
93%
$300,529 Vol.
15 avril
$5,678 Vol.
23%
30 avril
$126,017 Vol.
44%
30 juin
$168,833 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its "Spud" base model around March 25 has fueled trader consensus on an imminent GPT-5.5 release, potentially as early as mid-April, following the firm's rapid monthly cadence with GPT-5.4's rollout on March 5—enhanced for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks—and subsequent mini/nano variants by March 17. Spud incorporates two years of research breakthroughs, promising "big model smell" with intuitive capabilities in long-horizon problem-solving, amid resource shifts from Sora to accelerate deployment. Competitive pressures intensify with rumored April launches from xAI's Grok 5, Anthropic's Claude Mythos, and others, while an internal OpenAI model recently solved advanced Erdős math problems, signaling frontier progress. Traders eye official announcements or API integrations as key resolution triggers, though post-training timelines and naming remain unconfirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Volume
$300,529Marché ouvert
Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its "Spud" base model around March 25 has fueled trader consensus on an imminent GPT-5.5 release, potentially as early as mid-April, following the firm's rapid monthly cadence with GPT-5.4's rollout on March 5—enhanced for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks—and subsequent mini/nano variants by March 17. Spud incorporates two years of research breakthroughs, promising "big model smell" with intuitive capabilities in long-horizon problem-solving, amid resource shifts from Sora to accelerate deployment. Competitive pressures intensify with rumored April launches from xAI's Grok 5, Anthropic's Claude Mythos, and others, while an internal OpenAI model recently solved advanced Erdős math problems, signaling frontier progress. Traders eye official announcements or API integrations as key resolution triggers, though post-training timelines and naming remain unconfirmed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$300,529Marché ouvert
Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's completion of pre-training for its "Spud" base model around March 25 has fueled trader consensus on an imminent GPT-5.5 release, potentially as early as mid-April, following the firm's rapid monthly cadence with GPT-5.4's rollout on March 5—enhanced for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks—and subsequent mini/nano variants by March 17. Spud incorporates two years of research breakthroughs, promising "big model smell" with intuitive capabilities in long-horizon problem-solving, amid resource shifts from Sora to accelerate deployment. Competitive pressures intensify with rumored April launches from xAI's Grok 5, Anthropic's Claude Mythos, and others, while an internal OpenAI model recently solved advanced Erdős math problems, signaling frontier progress. Traders eye official announcements or API integrations as key resolution triggers, though post-training timelines and naming remain unconfirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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