Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic 100.0%
Google 1.8%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$78,506 Vol.
$78,506 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
OpenAI
Non
Anthropic
Oui
Z.ai
Non
SpaceXAI
Non
Meta
Non
ByteDance
Non
Alibaba
Non
Moonshot
Non
Non
MiniMax
Non
Xiaomi
Non
DeepSeek
Non
Tencent
Non
Poolside
Non
Mistral
Non
Anthropic 100.0%
Google 1.8%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$78,506 Vol.
$78,506 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
OpenAI
$9,090 Vol.
Non
Anthropic
$17,517 Vol.
Oui
Z.ai
$3,103 Vol.
Non
SpaceXAI
$1,502 Vol.
Non
Meta
$979 Vol.
Non
ByteDance
$1,069 Vol.
Non
Alibaba
$4,732 Vol.
Non
Moonshot
$27,146 Vol.
Non
$3,754 Vol.
Non
MiniMax
$2,107 Vol.
Non
Xiaomi
$1,101 Vol.
Non
DeepSeek
$3,087 Vol.
Non
Tencent
$1,137 Vol.
Non
Poolside
$1,257 Vol.
Non
Mistral
$925 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Volume
$78,506Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev) when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$78,506Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 15, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Intense competition among frontier AI labs keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and numerous Chinese and other players for the top Code Arena WebDev model by end of July. Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 have posted leading SWE-bench scores above 88% through strong agentic coding and long-running repository edits, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series matches or exceeds them on verified tasks and tool use. Google Gemini variants excel at multimodal UI generation and large-context reasoning. Frequent benchmark updates, rapid iteration cycles, and specialization in web-specific workflows like frontend frameworks, API integration, and autonomous debugging create ongoing volatility, with no model yet demonstrating consistent dominance across all WebDev criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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