Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, led by Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% on the September 2026 BenchLM HLE leaderboard and 59.1% on Artificial Analysis, currently top the benchmark ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5. The 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities were designed to resist saturation, with frontier scores still clustered in the mid-50s to mid-60s percent range across sources. This positioning reflects Anthropic’s iterative releases and reasoning-focused training, which have widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 configurations and Google’s Gemini models in recent months. Remaining catalysts through December 2026 include potential new Claude iterations, tool-augmented evaluations, and any last-quarter capability jumps that could shift the year’s highest recorded score.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$106,109 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
55 %+
82%
60 %+
43%
65 %+
19%
70 %+
14%
75 % ou plus
9%
$106,109 Vol.
55 %+
$26,759 Vol.
82%
60 %+
$45,258 Vol.
43%
65 %+
$28,311 Vol.
19%
70 %+
$4,438 Vol.
14%
75 % ou plus
$1,344 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, led by Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% on the September 2026 BenchLM HLE leaderboard and 59.1% on Artificial Analysis, currently top the benchmark ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5. The 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities were designed to resist saturation, with frontier scores still clustered in the mid-50s to mid-60s percent range across sources. This positioning reflects Anthropic’s iterative releases and reasoning-focused training, which have widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 configurations and Google’s Gemini models in recent months. Remaining catalysts through December 2026 include potential new Claude iterations, tool-augmented evaluations, and any last-quarter capability jumps that could shift the year’s highest recorded score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$106,109Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, led by Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% on the September 2026 BenchLM HLE leaderboard and 59.1% on Artificial Analysis, currently top the benchmark ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5. The 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities were designed to resist saturation, with frontier scores still clustered in the mid-50s to mid-60s percent range across sources. This positioning reflects Anthropic’s iterative releases and reasoning-focused training, which have widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 configurations and Google’s Gemini models in recent months. Remaining catalysts through December 2026 include potential new Claude iterations, tool-augmented evaluations, and any last-quarter capability jumps that could shift the year’s highest recorded score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$106,109Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://agi.safe.ai/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, led by Claude Fable 5.1 at 65% on the September 2026 BenchLM HLE leaderboard and 59.1% on Artificial Analysis, currently top the benchmark ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5. The 2,500 expert-authored questions spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities were designed to resist saturation, with frontier scores still clustered in the mid-50s to mid-60s percent range across sources. This positioning reflects Anthropic’s iterative releases and reasoning-focused training, which have widened its lead over OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 configurations and Google’s Gemini models in recent months. Remaining catalysts through December 2026 include potential new Claude iterations, tool-augmented evaluations, and any last-quarter capability jumps that could shift the year’s highest recorded score.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le score le plus élevé obtenu à l’Ultime Exam de l’Humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 60% ou plus ?
52%
Oui
Le score le plus élevé obtenu par un modèle OpenAI lors du Dernier Examen de l’Humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 55 % ou plus ?
84%
Oui
Le score le plus élevé obtenu par un modèle Meta à l’ultime examen de l’humanité en 2026 sera-t-il de 55 % ou plus ?
35%
Oui
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