Anthropic’s pursuit of a $30–50 billion funding round at a post-money valuation exceeding $900 billion has driven the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will finish 2026 above OpenAI. The latest terms, agreed in mid-May, would lift Anthropic from its $380 billion February close to more than double OpenAI’s $852 billion March post-money level, reflecting faster revenue traction and enterprise adoption of its Claude models. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from Anthropic’s recent Mythos release and widening valuation multiples, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its shift toward enterprise offerings. Key near-term catalysts include finalization of Anthropic’s round and any secondary-market updates ahead of potential 2026 IPO windows for both firms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$79,103 Vol.
$79,103 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
$79,103 Vol.
$79,103 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s pursuit of a $30–50 billion funding round at a post-money valuation exceeding $900 billion has driven the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will finish 2026 above OpenAI. The latest terms, agreed in mid-May, would lift Anthropic from its $380 billion February close to more than double OpenAI’s $852 billion March post-money level, reflecting faster revenue traction and enterprise adoption of its Claude models. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from Anthropic’s recent Mythos release and widening valuation multiples, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its shift toward enterprise offerings. Key near-term catalysts include finalization of Anthropic’s round and any secondary-market updates ahead of potential 2026 IPO windows for both firms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$79,103Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s pursuit of a $30–50 billion funding round at a post-money valuation exceeding $900 billion has driven the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will finish 2026 above OpenAI. The latest terms, agreed in mid-May, would lift Anthropic from its $380 billion February close to more than double OpenAI’s $852 billion March post-money level, reflecting faster revenue traction and enterprise adoption of its Claude models. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from Anthropic’s recent Mythos release and widening valuation multiples, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its shift toward enterprise offerings. Key near-term catalysts include finalization of Anthropic’s round and any secondary-market updates ahead of potential 2026 IPO windows for both firms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$79,103Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s pursuit of a $30–50 billion funding round at a post-money valuation exceeding $900 billion has driven the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will finish 2026 above OpenAI. The latest terms, agreed in mid-May, would lift Anthropic from its $380 billion February close to more than double OpenAI’s $852 billion March post-money level, reflecting faster revenue traction and enterprise adoption of its Claude models. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from Anthropic’s recent Mythos release and widening valuation multiples, while OpenAI faces investor scrutiny over its shift toward enterprise offerings. Key near-term catalysts include finalization of Anthropic’s round and any secondary-market updates ahead of potential 2026 IPO windows for both firms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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