Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence and scattered internal signals rather than any official announcement. Leaks referencing codenames such as iris-alpha in Codex routing logs during May, combined with the three-week gap after the April 23 GPT-5.5 launch, have concentrated implied probability on the June 15–21 window at 62 percent. No system card, blog post, or public benchmark has appeared to confirm the model, underscoring that current odds represent aggregated trader assessment of rumor velocity and historical patterns rather than verified development milestones. The next two weeks will test whether these signals translate into a public large language model rollout or further internal iteration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJune 15–June 21 62%
Not released by June 28 19%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 9%
$62,989 Vol.
$62,989 Vol.
28 juin 2026
June 1–June 7
<1%
June 8–June 14
9%
June 15–June 21
62%
June 22–June 28
25%
Not released by June 28
27%
June 15–June 21 62%
Not released by June 28 19%
June 22–June 28 14.3%
June 8–June 14 9%
$62,989 Vol.
$62,989 Vol.
28 juin 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,614 Vol.
<1%
June 8–June 14
$11,761 Vol.
9%
June 15–June 21
$2,721 Vol.
62%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 Vol.
25%
Not released by June 28
$6,744 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence and scattered internal signals rather than any official announcement. Leaks referencing codenames such as iris-alpha in Codex routing logs during May, combined with the three-week gap after the April 23 GPT-5.5 launch, have concentrated implied probability on the June 15–21 window at 62 percent. No system card, blog post, or public benchmark has appeared to confirm the model, underscoring that current odds represent aggregated trader assessment of rumor velocity and historical patterns rather than verified development milestones. The next two weeks will test whether these signals translate into a public large language model rollout or further internal iteration.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$62,989Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence and scattered internal signals rather than any official announcement. Leaks referencing codenames such as iris-alpha in Codex routing logs during May, combined with the three-week gap after the April 23 GPT-5.5 launch, have concentrated implied probability on the June 15–21 window at 62 percent. No system card, blog post, or public benchmark has appeared to confirm the model, underscoring that current odds represent aggregated trader assessment of rumor velocity and historical patterns rather than verified development milestones. The next two weeks will test whether these signals translate into a public large language model rollout or further internal iteration.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,989Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s accelerated post-GPT-5.5 cadence and scattered internal signals rather than any official announcement. Leaks referencing codenames such as iris-alpha in Codex routing logs during May, combined with the three-week gap after the April 23 GPT-5.5 launch, have concentrated implied probability on the June 15–21 window at 62 percent. No system card, blog post, or public benchmark has appeared to confirm the model, underscoring that current odds represent aggregated trader assessment of rumor velocity and historical patterns rather than verified development milestones. The next two weeks will test whether these signals translate into a public large language model rollout or further internal iteration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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