Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, anchored by the company's February 2026 completion of a $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion valuation—its 12th major private round—providing ample liquidity amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This data and AI platform leader, bolstered by acquisitions like MosaicML for generative AI capabilities, has repeatedly signaled comfort staying private, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting in late 2025 that public markets impose unnecessary scrutiny. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged by early April, pointing to a potential H2 window. Realistic challenges include a sudden favorable IPO market, accelerated regulatory easing for tech listings, or competitive pressures from rivals like Snowflake prompting earlier public debut for talent and capital access.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 91.3%
250 milliards $+ 3.7%
175–200 milliards 1.8%
125–150 milliards 1.7%
$365,542 Vol.
$365,542 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
1%
100–125 mds
1%
125–150 milliards
2%
150–175 Md$
2%
175–200 milliards
2%
200–250 Md$
1%
250 milliards $+
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
91%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 91.3%
250 milliards $+ 3.7%
175–200 milliards 1.8%
125–150 milliards 1.7%
$365,542 Vol.
$365,542 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
$32,044 Vol.
1%
100–125 mds
$37,904 Vol.
1%
125–150 milliards
$24,250 Vol.
2%
150–175 Md$
$58,611 Vol.
2%
175–200 milliards
$56,728 Vol.
2%
200–250 Md$
$19,022 Vol.
1%
250 milliards $+
$124,207 Vol.
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$12,776 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, anchored by the company's February 2026 completion of a $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion valuation—its 12th major private round—providing ample liquidity amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This data and AI platform leader, bolstered by acquisitions like MosaicML for generative AI capabilities, has repeatedly signaled comfort staying private, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting in late 2025 that public markets impose unnecessary scrutiny. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged by early April, pointing to a potential H2 window. Realistic challenges include a sudden favorable IPO market, accelerated regulatory easing for tech listings, or competitive pressures from rivals like Snowflake prompting earlier public debut for talent and capital access.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$365,542Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, anchored by the company's February 2026 completion of a $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion valuation—its 12th major private round—providing ample liquidity amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This data and AI platform leader, bolstered by acquisitions like MosaicML for generative AI capabilities, has repeatedly signaled comfort staying private, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting in late 2025 that public markets impose unnecessary scrutiny. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged by early April, pointing to a potential H2 window. Realistic challenges include a sudden favorable IPO market, accelerated regulatory easing for tech listings, or competitive pressures from rivals like Snowflake prompting earlier public debut for talent and capital access.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$365,542Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, anchored by the company's February 2026 completion of a $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion valuation—its 12th major private round—providing ample liquidity amid $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This data and AI platform leader, bolstered by acquisitions like MosaicML for generative AI capabilities, has repeatedly signaled comfort staying private, with CEO Ali Ghodsi noting in late 2025 that public markets impose unnecessary scrutiny. No S-1 filing or official timeline has emerged by early April, pointing to a potential H2 window. Realistic challenges include a sudden favorable IPO market, accelerated regulatory easing for tech listings, or competitive pressures from rivals like Snowflake prompting earlier public debut for talent and capital access.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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