Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official roadmap announcement as of early May. The data analytics leader, powering AI/ML workloads via its lakehouse platform, recently closed a $5 billion funding round in February at a $134 billion valuation—providing substantial runway amid robust $5.4 billion ARR growth—and secured $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, diminishing near-term public market urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal remarks in late 2025, emphasizing operational wins over timing, further anchor this positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC filing or roadshow reveal, though typical 4-6 week review processes make a H1 debut improbable without prior signals; monitor Q2 earnings or executive interviews for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 94.2%
100–125 mds 3.1%
200–250 Md$ 1.4%
125–150 milliards 1.4%
$402,801 Vol.
$402,801 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
<1%
100–125 mds
3%
125–150 milliards
1%
150–175 Md$
<1%
175–200 milliards
<1%
200–250 Md$
1%
250 milliards $+
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
94%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 94.2%
100–125 mds 3.1%
200–250 Md$ 1.4%
125–150 milliards 1.4%
$402,801 Vol.
$402,801 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
$33,190 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mds
$61,644 Vol.
3%
125–150 milliards
$26,452 Vol.
1%
150–175 Md$
$59,742 Vol.
<1%
175–200 milliards
$58,142 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Md$
$21,112 Vol.
1%
250 milliards $+
$126,068 Vol.
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$16,452 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official roadmap announcement as of early May. The data analytics leader, powering AI/ML workloads via its lakehouse platform, recently closed a $5 billion funding round in February at a $134 billion valuation—providing substantial runway amid robust $5.4 billion ARR growth—and secured $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, diminishing near-term public market urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal remarks in late 2025, emphasizing operational wins over timing, further anchor this positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC filing or roadshow reveal, though typical 4-6 week review processes make a H1 debut improbable without prior signals; monitor Q2 earnings or executive interviews for shifts.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$402,801Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official roadmap announcement as of early May. The data analytics leader, powering AI/ML workloads via its lakehouse platform, recently closed a $5 billion funding round in February at a $134 billion valuation—providing substantial runway amid robust $5.4 billion ARR growth—and secured $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, diminishing near-term public market urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal remarks in late 2025, emphasizing operational wins over timing, further anchor this positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC filing or roadshow reveal, though typical 4-6 week review processes make a H1 debut improbable without prior signals; monitor Q2 earnings or executive interviews for shifts.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$402,801Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official roadmap announcement as of early May. The data analytics leader, powering AI/ML workloads via its lakehouse platform, recently closed a $5 billion funding round in February at a $134 billion valuation—providing substantial runway amid robust $5.4 billion ARR growth—and secured $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, diminishing near-term public market urgency. CEO Ali Ghodsi's non-committal remarks in late 2025, emphasizing operational wins over timing, further anchor this positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected SEC filing or roadshow reveal, though typical 4-6 week review processes make a H1 debut improbable without prior signals; monitor Q2 earnings or executive interviews for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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