Databricks' data and AI platform shows no signs of an imminent public debut, with the dominant 96% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 driven by the absence of an S-1 filing through April 2026 and consistent analyst projections for a confidential submission only in Q3. CEO Ali Ghodsi has emphasized a deliberate pace focused on scaling toward trillion-dollar status rather than rushing, reinforced by recent private funding at a $134 billion valuation and debt raises that extend runway without public-market pressures. Standard SEC timelines for review, roadshows, and listing make a June close highly improbable absent an unprecedented acceleration. A credible surprise filing or regulatory fast-track could theoretically shift sentiment, though current enterprise software precedents and internal signals indicate the window has effectively closed for 2026's first half.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 96.0%
125–150 milliards 1.6%
100–125 mds 1.3%
200–250 Md$ 1.0%
$412,527 Vol.
$412,527 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
<1%
100–125 mds
1%
125–150 milliards
2%
150–175 Md$
<1%
175–200 milliards
<1%
200–250 Md$
1%
250 milliards $+
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
96%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 96.0%
125–150 milliards 1.6%
100–125 mds 1.3%
200–250 Md$ 1.0%
$412,527 Vol.
$412,527 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
$33,979 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mds
$62,594 Vol.
1%
125–150 milliards
$27,180 Vol.
2%
150–175 Md$
$60,244 Vol.
<1%
175–200 milliards
$58,497 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Md$
$21,530 Vol.
1%
250 milliards $+
$127,332 Vol.
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$21,171 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' data and AI platform shows no signs of an imminent public debut, with the dominant 96% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 driven by the absence of an S-1 filing through April 2026 and consistent analyst projections for a confidential submission only in Q3. CEO Ali Ghodsi has emphasized a deliberate pace focused on scaling toward trillion-dollar status rather than rushing, reinforced by recent private funding at a $134 billion valuation and debt raises that extend runway without public-market pressures. Standard SEC timelines for review, roadshows, and listing make a June close highly improbable absent an unprecedented acceleration. A credible surprise filing or regulatory fast-track could theoretically shift sentiment, though current enterprise software precedents and internal signals indicate the window has effectively closed for 2026's first half.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$412,527Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' data and AI platform shows no signs of an imminent public debut, with the dominant 96% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 driven by the absence of an S-1 filing through April 2026 and consistent analyst projections for a confidential submission only in Q3. CEO Ali Ghodsi has emphasized a deliberate pace focused on scaling toward trillion-dollar status rather than rushing, reinforced by recent private funding at a $134 billion valuation and debt raises that extend runway without public-market pressures. Standard SEC timelines for review, roadshows, and listing make a June close highly improbable absent an unprecedented acceleration. A credible surprise filing or regulatory fast-track could theoretically shift sentiment, though current enterprise software precedents and internal signals indicate the window has effectively closed for 2026's first half.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$412,527Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' data and AI platform shows no signs of an imminent public debut, with the dominant 96% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 driven by the absence of an S-1 filing through April 2026 and consistent analyst projections for a confidential submission only in Q3. CEO Ali Ghodsi has emphasized a deliberate pace focused on scaling toward trillion-dollar status rather than rushing, reinforced by recent private funding at a $134 billion valuation and debt raises that extend runway without public-market pressures. Standard SEC timelines for review, roadshows, and listing make a June close highly improbable absent an unprecedented acceleration. A credible surprise filing or regulatory fast-track could theoretically shift sentiment, though current enterprise software precedents and internal signals indicate the window has effectively closed for 2026's first half.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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