Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently scores 36.9% on the FrontierMath Tiers 1-4 benchmark—a suite of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems vetted by expert mathematicians—trailing OpenAI models exceeding 50%, according to Epoch AI's latest evaluations. The February 2026 release of the Gemini 3 series, including 3 Pro Preview at 37.6% and specialized variants like Deep Think, drove these gains through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and tool integration, narrowing the gap from prior single-digit performances. Competitive pressure from GPT-5.2 Pro's 31% on Tier 4 underscores the arms race in AI mathematical capabilities. Traders eye Google I/O on May 19-20 for potential Gemini 4 announcements or benchmark updates that could push scores higher by the June 30 deadline, though timelines often slip amid scaling challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$127,692 Vol.
28 févr. 2026
40 %+
92%
45 %+
41%
50%+
36%
60 %+
18%
$127,692 Vol.
40 %+
$30,444 Vol.
92%
45 %+
$48,284 Vol.
41%
50%+
$18,709 Vol.
36%
60 %+
$30,255 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently scores 36.9% on the FrontierMath Tiers 1-4 benchmark—a suite of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems vetted by expert mathematicians—trailing OpenAI models exceeding 50%, according to Epoch AI's latest evaluations. The February 2026 release of the Gemini 3 series, including 3 Pro Preview at 37.6% and specialized variants like Deep Think, drove these gains through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and tool integration, narrowing the gap from prior single-digit performances. Competitive pressure from GPT-5.2 Pro's 31% on Tier 4 underscores the arms race in AI mathematical capabilities. Traders eye Google I/O on May 19-20 for potential Gemini 4 announcements or benchmark updates that could push scores higher by the June 30 deadline, though timelines often slip amid scaling challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$127,692Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently scores 36.9% on the FrontierMath Tiers 1-4 benchmark—a suite of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems vetted by expert mathematicians—trailing OpenAI models exceeding 50%, according to Epoch AI's latest evaluations. The February 2026 release of the Gemini 3 series, including 3 Pro Preview at 37.6% and specialized variants like Deep Think, drove these gains through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and tool integration, narrowing the gap from prior single-digit performances. Competitive pressure from GPT-5.2 Pro's 31% on Tier 4 underscores the arms race in AI mathematical capabilities. Traders eye Google I/O on May 19-20 for potential Gemini 4 announcements or benchmark updates that could push scores higher by the June 30 deadline, though timelines often slip amid scaling challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$127,692Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently scores 36.9% on the FrontierMath Tiers 1-4 benchmark—a suite of hundreds of unpublished, research-level math problems vetted by expert mathematicians—trailing OpenAI models exceeding 50%, according to Epoch AI's latest evaluations. The February 2026 release of the Gemini 3 series, including 3 Pro Preview at 37.6% and specialized variants like Deep Think, drove these gains through advanced chain-of-thought reasoning and tool integration, narrowing the gap from prior single-digit performances. Competitive pressure from GPT-5.2 Pro's 31% on Tier 4 underscores the arms race in AI mathematical capabilities. Traders eye Google I/O on May 19-20 for potential Gemini 4 announcements or benchmark updates that could push scores higher by the June 30 deadline, though timelines often slip amid scaling challenges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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