Databricks' rapid private valuation climb to $190 billion following its August 2026 funding round, fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth in AI data infrastructure, underpins the near-even implied probabilities across the $150 billion–$300 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets. CEO statements ruling out a 2026 listing amid a crowded queue of AI and tech debuts have reinforced trader consensus on a 2027 timeline, with the 22% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflecting limited near-term filing signals. Comparable multiples for high-growth AI peers and equity-market reception for data-platform names remain key swing factors ahead of any S-1, as markets price probabilities rather than certainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour250 à 300 milliards de dollars 95%
350–400 milliards $ 95%
300-350 milliards $ 93%
200 M$–250 M$ 92%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
<150 milliards $
-
150-200 milliards $
-
200 M$–250 M$
92%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars
95%
300-350 milliards $
93%
350–400 milliards $
95%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars
-
450 milliards $ +
-
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
23%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars 95%
350–400 milliards $ 95%
300-350 milliards $ 93%
200 M$–250 M$ 92%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2027
<150 milliards $
$18 Vol.
-
150-200 milliards $
$18 Vol.
-
200 M$–250 M$
$18 Vol.
92%
250 à 300 milliards de dollars
$18 Vol.
95%
300-350 milliards $
$18 Vol.
93%
350–400 milliards $
$18 Vol.
95%
400 à 450 milliards de dollars
$18 Vol.
-
450 milliards $ +
$18 Vol.
-
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$272 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' rapid private valuation climb to $190 billion following its August 2026 funding round, fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth in AI data infrastructure, underpins the near-even implied probabilities across the $150 billion–$300 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets. CEO statements ruling out a 2026 listing amid a crowded queue of AI and tech debuts have reinforced trader consensus on a 2027 timeline, with the 22% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflecting limited near-term filing signals. Comparable multiples for high-growth AI peers and equity-market reception for data-platform names remain key swing factors ahead of any S-1, as markets price probabilities rather than certainties.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$416Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' rapid private valuation climb to $190 billion following its August 2026 funding round, fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth in AI data infrastructure, underpins the near-even implied probabilities across the $150 billion–$300 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets. CEO statements ruling out a 2026 listing amid a crowded queue of AI and tech debuts have reinforced trader consensus on a 2027 timeline, with the 22% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflecting limited near-term filing signals. Comparable multiples for high-growth AI peers and equity-market reception for data-platform names remain key swing factors ahead of any S-1, as markets price probabilities rather than certainties.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$416Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' rapid private valuation climb to $190 billion following its August 2026 funding round, fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80%+ year-over-year growth in AI data infrastructure, underpins the near-even implied probabilities across the $150 billion–$300 billion IPO closing market-cap buckets. CEO statements ruling out a 2026 listing amid a crowded queue of AI and tech debuts have reinforced trader consensus on a 2027 timeline, with the 22% odds of no IPO by December 31, 2027 reflecting limited near-term filing signals. Comparable multiples for high-growth AI peers and equity-market reception for data-platform names remain key swing factors ahead of any S-1, as markets price probabilities rather than certainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La capitalisation boursière de Stripe sera-t-elle d'au moins 500 milliards de dollars à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse ?
42%
Oui
Discord n’aura-t-il pas d’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
41%
Oui
La valorisation de Databricks atteindra-t-elle (HAUT) 200 milliards de dollars d'ici le 31 décembre ?
77%
Oui
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