Discord’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has kept an eventual IPO plausible through 2027, yet persistent delays—no public prospectus or listing date—have compressed implied probabilities around the 11–14 billion closing market-cap bracket at 23.8 percent and the no-IPO outcome at 21.9 percent. Secondary-market marks near 8.5 billion on Forge Global reflect a sharp reset from the 2021 15 billion peak, consistent with tempered revenue multiples on roughly 700–900 million annualized recurring revenue and 200-plus million monthly active users amid softer consumer-tech sentiment versus AI-driven listings. Trader consensus therefore hinges on monetization progress, SEC review pace, and broader equity-market appetite for a 2026–2027 debut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour11-14 Md$ 23.8%
Aucune introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 21.9%
8–11 Md$ 15%
14–17 Md$ 6.7%
$52,813 Vol.
$52,813 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<5 Mds$
6%
5–8 Md$
5%
8–11 Md$
15%
11-14 Md$
24%
14–17 Md$
12%
17–20 Md$
5%
20 Md$+
5%
Aucune introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027
22%
11-14 Md$ 23.8%
Aucune introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 21.9%
8–11 Md$ 15%
14–17 Md$ 6.7%
$52,813 Vol.
$52,813 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<5 Mds$
$14,428 Vol.
6%
5–8 Md$
$4,270 Vol.
5%
8–11 Md$
$12,643 Vol.
15%
11-14 Md$
$5,510 Vol.
24%
14–17 Md$
$2,091 Vol.
12%
17–20 Md$
$4,486 Vol.
5%
20 Md$+
$4,404 Vol.
5%
Aucune introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027
$4,980 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has kept an eventual IPO plausible through 2027, yet persistent delays—no public prospectus or listing date—have compressed implied probabilities around the 11–14 billion closing market-cap bracket at 23.8 percent and the no-IPO outcome at 21.9 percent. Secondary-market marks near 8.5 billion on Forge Global reflect a sharp reset from the 2021 15 billion peak, consistent with tempered revenue multiples on roughly 700–900 million annualized recurring revenue and 200-plus million monthly active users amid softer consumer-tech sentiment versus AI-driven listings. Trader consensus therefore hinges on monetization progress, SEC review pace, and broader equity-market appetite for a 2026–2027 debut.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$52,813Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has kept an eventual IPO plausible through 2027, yet persistent delays—no public prospectus or listing date—have compressed implied probabilities around the 11–14 billion closing market-cap bracket at 23.8 percent and the no-IPO outcome at 21.9 percent. Secondary-market marks near 8.5 billion on Forge Global reflect a sharp reset from the 2021 15 billion peak, consistent with tempered revenue multiples on roughly 700–900 million annualized recurring revenue and 200-plus million monthly active users amid softer consumer-tech sentiment versus AI-driven listings. Trader consensus therefore hinges on monetization progress, SEC review pace, and broader equity-market appetite for a 2026–2027 debut.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$52,813Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has kept an eventual IPO plausible through 2027, yet persistent delays—no public prospectus or listing date—have compressed implied probabilities around the 11–14 billion closing market-cap bracket at 23.8 percent and the no-IPO outcome at 21.9 percent. Secondary-market marks near 8.5 billion on Forge Global reflect a sharp reset from the 2021 15 billion peak, consistent with tempered revenue multiples on roughly 700–900 million annualized recurring revenue and 200-plus million monthly active users amid softer consumer-tech sentiment versus AI-driven listings. Trader consensus therefore hinges on monetization progress, SEC review pace, and broader equity-market appetite for a 2026–2027 debut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La capitalisation boursière de Databricks sera-t-elle comprise entre 200 milliards $ et 250 milliards $ à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse ?
48%
Oui
La capitalisation boursière de Stripe sera-t-elle inférieure à 150 milliards de dollars à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse ?
45%
Oui
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
67%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes