President Trump's formal nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, submitted to the Senate for confirmation ahead of Jerome Powell's term ending May 15, underpins trader consensus at 97% against withdrawal. Despite recent reports of a stall—driven by Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ resolution of a probe into Powell's $2.5 billion Fed renovation—the White House continues advocating Warsh's credentials, with no public signals of retreat. This reflects historical patterns where nominees persist through holds absent major scandals. Realistic shifts could arise from prolonged DOJ delays, escalating Iran conflict volatility, or insurmountable Senate opposition forcing a pivot before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$63,985 Vol.
$63,985 Vol.
Oui
$63,985 Vol.
$63,985 Vol.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's formal nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair on March 4, submitted to the Senate for confirmation ahead of Jerome Powell's term ending May 15, underpins trader consensus at 97% against withdrawal. Despite recent reports of a stall—driven by Sen. Thom Tillis's hold pending DOJ resolution of a probe into Powell's $2.5 billion Fed renovation—the White House continues advocating Warsh's credentials, with no public signals of retreat. This reflects historical patterns where nominees persist through holds absent major scandals. Realistic shifts could arise from prolonged DOJ delays, escalating Iran conflict volatility, or insurmountable Senate opposition forcing a pivot before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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