Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin in-person summit by June 30 amid the absence of any official announcements or scheduled bilateral meetings, despite recent phone calls between the leaders in early March discussing Ukraine and the escalating Iran conflict. President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow for Ukraine talks underscores a preference for indirect diplomacy over high-profile summits, echoing past instances where proposed meetings like the 2025 Budapest plan dissolved due to disagreements. Ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran, coupled with Trump's public threats to exit NATO, heighten logistical and political barriers to a neutral-site rendezvous, pricing other locations as remote possibilities absent a sudden de-escalation breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAucune rencontre d'ici le 30 juin 87.9%
Autre pays de l'UE 2.6%
Turquie 1.8%
pays du Golfe 1.8%
$4,612,390 Vol.
$4,612,390 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 30 juin
88%

Autre pays de l'UE
3%

Turquie
2%

pays du Golfe
2%

États-Unis
2%

Autre
2%

Russie
1%

Chine
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

Japon
1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Australie
<1%

Finlande
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 30 juin 87.9%
Autre pays de l'UE 2.6%
Turquie 1.8%
pays du Golfe 1.8%
$4,612,390 Vol.
$4,612,390 Vol.

Aucune rencontre d'ici le 30 juin
88%

Autre pays de l'UE
3%

Turquie
2%

pays du Golfe
2%

États-Unis
2%

Autre
2%

Russie
1%

Chine
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

Japon
1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Australie
<1%

Finlande
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin in-person summit by June 30 amid the absence of any official announcements or scheduled bilateral meetings, despite recent phone calls between the leaders in early March discussing Ukraine and the escalating Iran conflict. President Trump's dispatch of envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow for Ukraine talks underscores a preference for indirect diplomacy over high-profile summits, echoing past instances where proposed meetings like the 2025 Budapest plan dissolved due to disagreements. Ongoing wars in Ukraine and Iran, coupled with Trump's public threats to exit NATO, heighten logistical and political barriers to a neutral-site rendezvous, pricing other locations as remote possibilities absent a sudden de-escalation breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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