Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% on Trump exiting the presidency by March 31, driven by the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health emergencies in his second term, now over 14 months in following January 2025 inauguration. Recent partisan calls, such as a Democratic senator's January push for incapacity declaration and speculative predictions like James Carville's mid-March claim of post-midterm frustration, have failed to gain traction amid Republican congressional majorities blocking removal paths. With just days until resolution, realistic shifts would require sudden developments like a medical crisis, executive order invoking succession, or unprecedented cabinet revolt—none evident in current reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$12,400,153 Vol.
$12,400,153 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
$12,400,153 Vol.
$12,400,153 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% on Trump exiting the presidency by March 31, driven by the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health emergencies in his second term, now over 14 months in following January 2025 inauguration. Recent partisan calls, such as a Democratic senator's January push for incapacity declaration and speculative predictions like James Carville's mid-March claim of post-midterm frustration, have failed to gain traction amid Republican congressional majorities blocking removal paths. With just days until resolution, realistic shifts would require sudden developments like a medical crisis, executive order invoking succession, or unprecedented cabinet revolt—none evident in current reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$12,400,153Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% on Trump exiting the presidency by March 31, driven by the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health emergencies in his second term, now over 14 months in following January 2025 inauguration. Recent partisan calls, such as a Democratic senator's January push for incapacity declaration and speculative predictions like James Carville's mid-March claim of post-midterm frustration, have failed to gain traction amid Republican congressional majorities blocking removal paths. With just days until resolution, realistic shifts would require sudden developments like a medical crisis, executive order invoking succession, or unprecedented cabinet revolt—none evident in current reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,400,263Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.9% on Trump exiting the presidency by March 31, driven by the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health emergencies in his second term, now over 14 months in following January 2025 inauguration. Recent partisan calls, such as a Democratic senator's January push for incapacity declaration and speculative predictions like James Carville's mid-March claim of post-midterm frustration, have failed to gain traction amid Republican congressional majorities blocking removal paths. With just days until resolution, realistic shifts would require sudden developments like a medical crisis, executive order invoking succession, or unprecedented cabinet revolt—none evident in current reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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