Trader consensus heavily favors under 6,000 US flight delays on March 28 at 77%, reflecting a return to normalized operations after mid-March storms that spiked delays above 12,000 on several days. Yesterday's March 27 tally of roughly 3,000 delays, despite FAA-noted high winds impacting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) hubs, sets a low baseline amid calmer nationwide weather forecasts. Current FlightAware data shows only hundreds of delays early in the day, with localized ground delays averaging 18 minutes at LaGuardia and airspace flow programs constraining Caribbean routes. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from partial government shutdown and air traffic control understaffing sustain routine disruptions at major airports like O'Hare and Reagan National, but absent severe thunderstorms or widespread ground stops, traders anticipate total delays below recent averages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNumber of US Flights Delayed March 28?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?
<6,000 77%
8,000-8,500 18%
7,000-7,500 13%
6,000-6,500 13%
$12 Vol.
$12 Vol.
<6,000
77%
6,000-6,500
13%
6,500-7,000
10%
7,000-7,500
13%
7,500-8,000
5%
8,000-8,500
18%
8,500-9,000
6%
>9,000
4%
<6,000 77%
8,000-8,500 18%
7,000-7,500 13%
6,000-6,500 13%
$12 Vol.
$12 Vol.
<6,000
77%
6,000-6,500
13%
6,500-7,000
10%
7,000-7,500
13%
7,500-8,000
5%
8,000-8,500
18%
8,500-9,000
6%
>9,000
4%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors under 6,000 US flight delays on March 28 at 77%, reflecting a return to normalized operations after mid-March storms that spiked delays above 12,000 on several days. Yesterday's March 27 tally of roughly 3,000 delays, despite FAA-noted high winds impacting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) hubs, sets a low baseline amid calmer nationwide weather forecasts. Current FlightAware data shows only hundreds of delays early in the day, with localized ground delays averaging 18 minutes at LaGuardia and airspace flow programs constraining Caribbean routes. Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from partial government shutdown and air traffic control understaffing sustain routine disruptions at major airports like O'Hare and Reagan National, but absent severe thunderstorms or widespread ground stops, traders anticipate total delays below recent averages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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