Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, reflecting his trailing average of roughly 34 posts per day per XTracker data, pacing toward 285 weekly amid historical volatility. Recent slowdown—only 10 posts March 26-28—has tempered upside bets, evening odds across buckets while prior weeks like March 20-27 (projected ~270) and March 17-24 (~340) underscore spike potential from breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or cultural debates. Key swing factors include any Starship updates or political commentary, with no major catalysts confirmed yet; quiet periods favor lower ranges, but Musk's real-time engagement habits keep higher bins competitive in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
$35,442 Vol.
$35,442 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
4%
180-199
4%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
11%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
9%
400-419
5%
420-439
6%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
3%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
$35,442 Vol.
$35,442 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
4%
180-199
4%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
11%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
9%
400-419
5%
420-439
6%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
3%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, reflecting his trailing average of roughly 34 posts per day per XTracker data, pacing toward 285 weekly amid historical volatility. Recent slowdown—only 10 posts March 26-28—has tempered upside bets, evening odds across buckets while prior weeks like March 20-27 (projected ~270) and March 17-24 (~340) underscore spike potential from breaking news on Tesla, SpaceX, or cultural debates. Key swing factors include any Starship updates or political commentary, with no major catalysts confirmed yet; quiet periods favor lower ranges, but Musk's real-time engagement habits keep higher bins competitive in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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