Global seismic activity remains unpredictable, with no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes reported in the past 30 days as of early September 2024, following the 7.1 Vanuatu quake on August 14 and a quiet period beforehand. USGS data shows an average of 12-20 such events annually, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term forecasting is impossible due to chaotic tectonic dynamics. Trader sentiment likely hinges on historical frequency versus current lull, with upcoming monitoring of high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast potentially influencing positions amid volatile aftershock patterns and no major precursors signaling imminent activity. Markets reflect this uncertainty, as rare events defy patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourUn autre séisme de 7,0 ou plus de... ?
Un autre séisme de 7,0 ou plus de... ?
NEW
May 31, 2026
31 mars
18%
30 avril
81%
31 mai
90%
$7,581 Vol.
31 mars
$2,963 Vol.
18%
30 avril
$2,636 Vol.
81%
31 mai
$1,982 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity remains unpredictable, with no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes reported in the past 30 days as of early September 2024, following the 7.1 Vanuatu quake on August 14 and a quiet period beforehand. USGS data shows an average of 12-20 such events annually, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term forecasting is impossible due to chaotic tectonic dynamics. Trader sentiment likely hinges on historical frequency versus current lull, with upcoming monitoring of high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast potentially influencing positions amid volatile aftershock patterns and no major precursors signaling imminent activity. Markets reflect this uncertainty, as rare events defy patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,581Date de fin
May 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity remains unpredictable, with no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes reported in the past 30 days as of early September 2024, following the 7.1 Vanuatu quake on August 14 and a quiet period beforehand. USGS data shows an average of 12-20 such events annually, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term forecasting is impossible due to chaotic tectonic dynamics. Trader sentiment likely hinges on historical frequency versus current lull, with upcoming monitoring of high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast potentially influencing positions amid volatile aftershock patterns and no major precursors signaling imminent activity. Markets reflect this uncertainty, as rare events defy patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$7,581Date de fin
May 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Global seismic activity remains unpredictable, with no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes reported in the past 30 days as of early September 2024, following the 7.1 Vanuatu quake on August 14 and a quiet period beforehand. USGS data shows an average of 12-20 such events annually, concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire, but short-term forecasting is impossible due to chaotic tectonic dynamics. Trader sentiment likely hinges on historical frequency versus current lull, with upcoming monitoring of high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast potentially influencing positions amid volatile aftershock patterns and no major precursors signaling imminent activity. Markets reflect this uncertainty, as rare events defy patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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