Combien de tremblements de terre de magnitude 7,0 ou plus en 2026 ?
11–13 39%
14–16 22%
17–19 16%
8–10 13%
$348,533 Vol.
$348,533 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$76,933 Vol.
1%
<5
$76,933 Vol.
1%
5–7
$33,449 Vol.
3%
5–7
$33,449 Vol.
3%
8–10
$28,388 Vol.
13%
8–10
$28,388 Vol.
13%
11–13
$80,355 Vol.
39%
11–13
$80,355 Vol.
39%
14–16
$23,288 Vol.
22%
14–16
$23,288 Vol.
22%
17–19
$83,170 Vol.
16%
17–19
$83,170 Vol.
16%
20+
$22,949 Vol.
8%
20+
$22,949 Vol.
8%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Créé le : Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
Volume
$348,533Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Créé le
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Combien de tremblements de terre de magnitude 7,0 ou plus en 2026 ?
11–13 39%
14–16 22%
17–19 16%
8–10 13%
$348,533 Vol.
$348,533 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$76,933 Vol.
1%
5–7
$33,449 Vol.
3%
8–10
$28,388 Vol.
13%
11–13
$80,355 Vol.
39%
14–16
$23,288 Vol.
22%
17–19
$83,170 Vol.
16%
20+
$22,949 Vol.
8%
À propos
Volume
$348,533Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Créé le
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
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