Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26 reflects sharp divergence in global weather models, with ECMWF ensembles leaning toward a cooler 22–26°C range under a potential mid-latitude trough, while GFS runs favor 30–32°C+ amid a persistent subtropical ridge and above-average sea surface temperatures in the South Atlantic. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts hover around 27–28°C as of latest updates, aligning with late-March climatological averages of 23–25°C but tempered by recent heatwave remnants from summer. This bimodal uncertainty—driven by jet stream waviness and frontal timing—explains the even split at 25% for extremes, with traders eyeing SMN's evening revision for resolution cues.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
27°C 22%
26°C 21%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
17%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
17%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
17%
27°C 22%
26°C 21%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
17%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
17%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26 reflects sharp divergence in global weather models, with ECMWF ensembles leaning toward a cooler 22–26°C range under a potential mid-latitude trough, while GFS runs favor 30–32°C+ amid a persistent subtropical ridge and above-average sea surface temperatures in the South Atlantic. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts hover around 27–28°C as of latest updates, aligning with late-March climatological averages of 23–25°C but tempered by recent heatwave remnants from summer. This bimodal uncertainty—driven by jet stream waviness and frontal timing—explains the even split at 25% for extremes, with traders eyeing SMN's evening revision for resolution cues.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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