Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 remains fragmented, with 21°C or higher at 18.1% and 16°C at 17.0% leading due to divergent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which project peaks between 15-21°C amid a transitioning spring weather pattern. Recent developments include a departing cold front from Siberia, boosting odds for milder outcomes like 16-17°C (combined ~33.5%), while lingering northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppress extremes above 20°C. Historical March data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs near 16°C, but soil moisture from prior rains limits rapid warming. Traders should monitor afternoon updates for refined guidance on convective activity differentiating these closely matched implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
16°C 18%
21°C or higher 17.1%
17°C 17%
11°C or below 15.0%
11°C or below
15%
12°C
11%
13°C
10%
14°C
11%
15°C
13%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C
14%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
17%
16°C 18%
21°C or higher 17.1%
17°C 17%
11°C or below 15.0%
11°C or below
15%
12°C
11%
13°C
10%
14°C
11%
15°C
13%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C
14%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 remains fragmented, with 21°C or higher at 18.1% and 16°C at 17.0% leading due to divergent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, which project peaks between 15-21°C amid a transitioning spring weather pattern. Recent developments include a departing cold front from Siberia, boosting odds for milder outcomes like 16-17°C (combined ~33.5%), while lingering northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppress extremes above 20°C. Historical March data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs near 16°C, but soil moisture from prior rains limits rapid warming. Traders should monitor afternoon updates for refined guidance on convective activity differentiating these closely matched implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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