Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 24 highest temperature remains tightly clustered around 15–19°C due to divergent global weather model ensembles, with ECMWF outputs implying slightly warmer peaks near 18–19°C (22–21.5% odds) from emerging high-pressure ridging, while GFS and ICON models favor cooler 15–17°C (19% each) amid persistent cloud cover and southerly moisture influx from the Yangtze basin. Historical March 24 maxima average 16.5°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent days' urban heat island amplification—boosting temps 1–2°C above rural stations—plus a weakening cold front, differentiates outcomes; final model runs today could shift consensus as resolution hinges on afternoon insolation breaking through fog.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
18°C 23%
19°C 22%
15°C 19%
14°C 19%
10°C or below
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
14%
13°C
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
18%
18°C 23%
19°C 22%
15°C 19%
14°C 19%
10°C or below
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
14%
13°C
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 24 highest temperature remains tightly clustered around 15–19°C due to divergent global weather model ensembles, with ECMWF outputs implying slightly warmer peaks near 18–19°C (22–21.5% odds) from emerging high-pressure ridging, while GFS and ICON models favor cooler 15–17°C (19% each) amid persistent cloud cover and southerly moisture influx from the Yangtze basin. Historical March 24 maxima average 16.5°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent days' urban heat island amplification—boosting temps 1–2°C above rural stations—plus a weakening cold front, differentiates outcomes; final model runs today could shift consensus as resolution hinges on afternoon insolation breaking through fog.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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