Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 78-83°F in Denver on March 24, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies, promoting adiabatic warming from downslope chinook winds off the Front Range. These models project peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s under clear skies and light winds, with 500mb heights around 570dm supporting above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include minor model spread: the European ECMWF leans slightly cooler at 78-79°F due to hinted mid-level clouds, while GFS outliers push toward 84-87°F if subsidence strengthens. Historical March precedents show similar setups yielding 80°F+ on 15% of ridge days, but uncertainty lingers from potential evening cold frontal timing per NWS Denver updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
12%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 78-83°F in Denver on March 24, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies, promoting adiabatic warming from downslope chinook winds off the Front Range. These models project peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s under clear skies and light winds, with 500mb heights around 570dm supporting above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include minor model spread: the European ECMWF leans slightly cooler at 78-79°F due to hinted mid-level clouds, while GFS outliers push toward 84-87°F if subsidence strengthens. Historical March precedents show similar setups yielding 80°F+ on 15% of ridge days, but uncertainty lingers from potential evening cold frontal timing per NWS Denver updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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