Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 32°C and 33°C for Singapore's March 21 peak temperature, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest short-range forecast indicating hazy hot conditions with highs of 32–34°C before afternoon thundery showers. This inter-monsoon period typically sees equatorial highs averaging 33°C at Changi Airport, moderated by sea breezes and convective cooling, but urban heat island effects nudge readings upward. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly on peak timing—earlier cloud cover favors 32°C, delayed favors 33°C—yielding 34°C at 20.5% amid recent 34°C days. Historical data shows <5% chance exceeding 35°C, aligning with tail-end probabilities. Traders eye NEA's 1200 UTC update for resolution cues.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Singapore on March 21?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 21?
32°C 32%
33°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 9%
$34,561 Vol.
$34,561 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
32%
33°C
31%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 32%
33°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 9%
$34,561 Vol.
$34,561 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
32%
33°C
31%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 32°C and 33°C for Singapore's March 21 peak temperature, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest short-range forecast indicating hazy hot conditions with highs of 32–34°C before afternoon thundery showers. This inter-monsoon period typically sees equatorial highs averaging 33°C at Changi Airport, moderated by sea breezes and convective cooling, but urban heat island effects nudge readings upward. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge slightly on peak timing—earlier cloud cover favors 32°C, delayed favors 33°C—yielding 34°C at 20.5% amid recent 34°C days. Historical data shows <5% chance exceeding 35°C, aligning with tail-end probabilities. Traders eye NEA's 1200 UTC update for resolution cues.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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