Trader consensus clusters around a cool high of 46-49°F for Seattle on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA forecast models indicating persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific, capping daytime heating under a weak upper-level trough. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows 500 mb heights 50-100 meters below average, favoring light southerly winds and highs 5-10°F below the March climatological mean of 54°F at Sea-Tac. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing—boosting 48-49°F odds—or thicker overcast locking in 45°F or below, with 2-meter temperature probabilities tightly matched amid model spread of ±3°F. Historical data underscores volatility, as similar setups have yielded record March lows near 40°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 22 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 22 mars ?
46-47 °F 27%
48-49°F 25%
52-53°F 22%
50-51°F 19%
45°F ou moins
11%
46-47 °F
27%
48-49°F
25%
50-51°F
20%
52-53°F
22%
54-55 °F
18%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64°F ou plus
7%
46-47 °F 27%
48-49°F 25%
52-53°F 22%
50-51°F 19%
45°F ou moins
11%
46-47 °F
27%
48-49°F
25%
50-51°F
20%
52-53°F
22%
54-55 °F
18%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64°F ou plus
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around a cool high of 46-49°F for Seattle on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA forecast models indicating persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific, capping daytime heating under a weak upper-level trough. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows 500 mb heights 50-100 meters below average, favoring light southerly winds and highs 5-10°F below the March climatological mean of 54°F at Sea-Tac. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing—boosting 48-49°F odds—or thicker overcast locking in 45°F or below, with 2-meter temperature probabilities tightly matched amid model spread of ±3°F. Historical data underscores volatility, as similar setups have yielded record March lows near 40°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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