Trader consensus heavily favors 92-95°F highs in Dallas on March 22, with 41.5% implied probability for 92-93°F and 30.5% for 94-95°F, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a midday peak near 94°F under a dominant subtropical ridge. Southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico are advecting moisture-laden warm air, suppressing clouds and boosting insolation, while GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converge on upper-90s potential before evening cooling. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels minimizing thunderstorm risks, elevating heat odds above climatological March norms of 68°F; however, a 5-10% chance of marine-layer stratus could trim peaks by 2-3°F, per NOAA guidance. Watch afternoon updates for convective tweaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 22 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 22 mars ?
92-93 °F 42%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 16.4%
96-97°F 5%
$62,261 Vol.
$62,261 Vol.
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93 °F
42%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
98°F ou plus
3%
92-93 °F 42%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 16.4%
96-97°F 5%
$62,261 Vol.
$62,261 Vol.
79°F ou moins
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93 °F
42%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
98°F ou plus
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 92-95°F highs in Dallas on March 22, with 41.5% implied probability for 92-93°F and 30.5% for 94-95°F, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a midday peak near 94°F under a dominant subtropical ridge. Southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico are advecting moisture-laden warm air, suppressing clouds and boosting insolation, while GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converge on upper-90s potential before evening cooling. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels minimizing thunderstorm risks, elevating heat odds above climatological March norms of 68°F; however, a 5-10% chance of marine-layer stratus could trim peaks by 2-3°F, per NOAA guidance. Watch afternoon updates for convective tweaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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