Trader sentiment clusters around 86-87°F (32%) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs projecting mid-to-upper 80s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southern Plains. This warmth exceeds the late-March climatological average of 72°F, fueled by antecedent dry soils and clear skies amplifying daytime heating. High uncertainty spreads probabilities across 82-89°F, with model divergence on ridge amplitude and potential cirrus cloud incursions; hotter outcomes (90°F+) hinge on maximal subsidence and gusty southwesterly winds, while cooler bins risk timing of upstream moisture advection or cold frontal remnants. Traders eye afternoon updates for resolution-defining tweaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 24 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 24 mars ?
86-87°F 31%
84-85 °F 20%
82-83 °F 16%
88-89°F 14%
77°F ou moins
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83 °F
16%
84-85 °F
20%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94-95 °F
1%
96°F ou plus
1%
86-87°F 31%
84-85 °F 20%
82-83 °F 16%
88-89°F 14%
77°F ou moins
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83 °F
16%
84-85 °F
20%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94-95 °F
1%
96°F ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 86-87°F (32%) for Dallas's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs projecting mid-to-upper 80s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southern Plains. This warmth exceeds the late-March climatological average of 72°F, fueled by antecedent dry soils and clear skies amplifying daytime heating. High uncertainty spreads probabilities across 82-89°F, with model divergence on ridge amplitude and potential cirrus cloud incursions; hotter outcomes (90°F+) hinge on maximal subsidence and gusty southwesterly winds, while cooler bins risk timing of upstream moisture advection or cold frontal remnants. Traders eye afternoon updates for resolution-defining tweaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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