Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul's March 25 high clustering around 13-15°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for these outcomes at 73% combined probability. This reflects a mild southerly airflow displacing recent cold snaps, with diurnal maxima sensitive to cloud cover and solar insolation—ECMWF runs skew warmer toward 15°C+ (30% market odds), while GFS hints cooler at 13°C (22%). Historical March averages hover at 12°C, but current upper-air patterns favor above-normal temps; uncertainty lingers in late-day cold advection, with KMA updates expected to sharpen resolution by March 24.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?
15°C or higher 32%
13°C 23%
14°C 22%
11°C 19%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
23%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
32%
15°C or higher 32%
13°C 23%
14°C 22%
11°C 19%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
23%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul's March 25 high clustering around 13-15°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for these outcomes at 73% combined probability. This reflects a mild southerly airflow displacing recent cold snaps, with diurnal maxima sensitive to cloud cover and solar insolation—ECMWF runs skew warmer toward 15°C+ (30% market odds), while GFS hints cooler at 13°C (22%). Historical March averages hover at 12°C, but current upper-air patterns favor above-normal temps; uncertainty lingers in late-day cold advection, with KMA updates expected to sharpen resolution by March 24.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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