Traders overwhelmingly favor 58°F or higher (98.3%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 25, driven by consensus forecasts from NOAA's National Weather Service and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 61-65°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. These align with Atlanta's March climatology, where daily highs average 65°F and exceed 58°F on 85% of historical days, per NOAA records. Recent 12Z model runs reinforce stability in the mid-level ridge pattern, minimizing cold front risks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen shortwave trough diving from the northwest, potentially capping highs below 58°F, though probabilities remain under 2% per current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 98.2%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$36,657 Vol.
$36,657 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
98%
58°F or higher 98.2%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$36,657 Vol.
$36,657 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor 58°F or higher (98.3%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 25, driven by consensus forecasts from NOAA's National Weather Service and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 61-65°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. These align with Atlanta's March climatology, where daily highs average 65°F and exceed 58°F on 85% of historical days, per NOAA records. Recent 12Z model runs reinforce stability in the mid-level ridge pattern, minimizing cold front risks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen shortwave trough diving from the northwest, potentially capping highs below 58°F, though probabilities remain under 2% per current guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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