Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 23 centers on NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, favoring 76-77°F at 31% implied probability amid a broad distribution signaling high uncertainty. Recent GFS model runs have trended slightly warmer, boosting odds for 80-81°F (19.5%) via persistent ridging aloft and warm air advection from the Gulf, while historical March volatility—averaging 65°F highs—supports lower bins like 74-75°F (17%). Key variables include jet stream positioning, potential cold front timing, cloud cover reducing insolation, and Atlanta's urban heat island effect; watch 12z updates from NWS Atlanta for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 17%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 17%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 23 centers on NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, favoring 76-77°F at 31% implied probability amid a broad distribution signaling high uncertainty. Recent GFS model runs have trended slightly warmer, boosting odds for 80-81°F (19.5%) via persistent ridging aloft and warm air advection from the Gulf, while historical March volatility—averaging 65°F highs—supports lower bins like 74-75°F (17%). Key variables include jet stream positioning, potential cold front timing, cloud cover reducing insolation, and Atlanta's urban heat island effect; watch 12z updates from NWS Atlanta for resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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