Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 22 (41% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast and ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast, promoting warm air advection and highs in the mid-80s. Recent developments include a refined 00Z model run showing slight upward adjustments from prior 82-83°F guidance, amid dry soils and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Historical March data shows Atlanta averages 65°F but frequently spikes above 80°F during ridging patterns like this, with urban heat island effects adding 2-4°F; low probabilities for extremes reflect weak signals for cold fronts or record heat above 90°F per NOAA climatology.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 42%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
$32,065 Vol.
$32,065 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 42%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
$32,065 Vol.
$32,065 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 84-85°F in Atlanta on March 22 (41% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast and ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF projecting a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast, promoting warm air advection and highs in the mid-80s. Recent developments include a refined 00Z model run showing slight upward adjustments from prior 82-83°F guidance, amid dry soils and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Historical March data shows Atlanta averages 65°F but frequently spikes above 80°F during ridging patterns like this, with urban heat island effects adding 2-4°F; low probabilities for extremes reflect weak signals for cold fronts or record heat above 90°F per NOAA climatology.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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