Trader sentiment for Wuhan's peak temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 19-21°C, driven by converging short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs of 18-22°C amid mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover. Leading 19°C and 20°C odds edge out due to recent model runs emphasizing urban heat island amplification in Wuhan, where concrete surfaces boost daytime peaks by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Slightly lower probabilities for 16-18°C reflect risks from lingering northern cold fronts, as evidenced by Hubei's variable March anomalies, while 22°C+ hinges on stronger solar insolation if skies clear. Ensemble spread underscores forecast uncertainty, with 00z updates pivotal for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 25?
18°C 33%
20°C 26%
21°C 23%
19°C 21%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
3%
15°C
8%
16°C
15%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
23%
22°C or higher
17%
18°C 33%
20°C 26%
21°C 23%
19°C 21%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
9%
14°C
3%
15°C
8%
16°C
15%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
23%
22°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's peak temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 19-21°C, driven by converging short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs of 18-22°C amid mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover. Leading 19°C and 20°C odds edge out due to recent model runs emphasizing urban heat island amplification in Wuhan, where concrete surfaces boost daytime peaks by 1-2°C above rural baselines. Slightly lower probabilities for 16-18°C reflect risks from lingering northern cold fronts, as evidenced by Hubei's variable March anomalies, while 22°C+ hinges on stronger solar insolation if skies clear. Ensemble spread underscores forecast uncertainty, with 00z updates pivotal for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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