Catastrophe naturelle en 2026 ?

Climat

Science

Catastrophe naturelle en 2026 ?

48%

Oui

$112k Vol.

$18.2k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Des tempêtes nommées se forment avant la saison des ouragans ?

Climat

Science

Des tempêtes nommées se forment avant la saison des ouragans ?

28%

Oui

$253k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Un ouragan de catégorie 4 touchera-t-il terre aux États-Unis avant 2027 ?

Climat

Science

Un ouragan de catégorie 4 touchera-t-il terre aux États-Unis avant 2027 ?

34%

Oui

$232k Vol.

$4.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Étendue minimale de la glace de mer arctique cet été ?

Climat

MéTéO

Étendue minimale de la glace de mer arctique cet été ?

53%

<4 M km²

$1.3k Vol.

$7.9k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Éruption volcanique majeure (VEI ≥6) en 2026 ?

Climat

Science

Éruption volcanique majeure (VEI ≥6) en 2026 ?

8%

Oui

$25.2k Vol.

$20.0k Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

Étendue maximale de la glace de mer arctique cet hiver ?

Climat

MéTéO

Étendue maximale de la glace de mer arctique cet hiver ?

17%

14,6-14,8 millions de km²

$3.0k Vol.

$6.9k Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Un ouragan touchera-t-il terre aux États-Unis d'ici le 31 mai ?

Climat

MéTéO

Un ouragan touchera-t-il terre aux États-Unis d'ici le 31 mai ?

5%

Oui

$3.2k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Climat.

Polymarket currently hosts 7 active markets for Climat that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Catastrophe naturelle en 2026 ?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $630K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Un ouragan de catégorie 4 touchera-t-il terre aux États-Unis avant 2027 ?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Étendue maximale de la glace de mer arctique cet hiver ?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Des tempêtes nommées se forment avant la saison des ouragans ?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to Non. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Climat predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.