Trader sentiment on Houston's March 24 high temperature clusters around 82-87°F, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecasts projecting peaks of 83-85°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering southerly winds and warm air advection. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus tightening in this range after 00z runs, with minimal cloud cover and dry soils enhancing daytime heating beyond the March climatological average of 77°F. Recent observations from Houston's IAH airport—yesterday's 82°F high—bolster these odds, though boundary layer mixing and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty, keeping tails like 90°F+ subdued at low probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on March 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
14%
94°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
14%
94°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Houston's March 24 high temperature clusters around 82-87°F, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecasts projecting peaks of 83-85°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering southerly winds and warm air advection. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus tightening in this range after 00z runs, with minimal cloud cover and dry soils enhancing daytime heating beyond the March climatological average of 77°F. Recent observations from Houston's IAH airport—yesterday's 82°F high—bolster these odds, though boundary layer mixing and afternoon convection introduce uncertainty, keeping tails like 90°F+ subdued at low probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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