Ensemble weather models from global centers like ECMWF and GFS project a high of 23-25°C in Buenos Aires on March 24, fueling trader preference for 23°C or below at 39% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 24°C. This outlook stems from a weak cold front ushering southerly winds and increased cloud cover, tempering diurnal heating after recent mild days averaging 24-26°C. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest guidance aligns with these models, showing peak temperatures midday amid 60-70% humidity that suppresses extremes. Historical March maxima average 27°C, but current atmospheric stability favors moderation, with final odds hinging on morning soundings and any convective developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
23°C or below 48%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
25°C 14%
23°C or below
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
24%
26°C
21%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 48%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
25°C 14%
23°C or below
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
24%
26°C
21%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from global centers like ECMWF and GFS project a high of 23-25°C in Buenos Aires on March 24, fueling trader preference for 23°C or below at 39% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 24°C. This outlook stems from a weak cold front ushering southerly winds and increased cloud cover, tempering diurnal heating after recent mild days averaging 24-26°C. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest guidance aligns with these models, showing peak temperatures midday amid 60-70% humidity that suppresses extremes. Historical March maxima average 27°C, but current atmospheric stability favors moderation, with final odds hinging on morning soundings and any convective developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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