Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mild highs of 24-26°C for Buenos Aires on March 21, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 25-26°C peaks amid persistent southerly winds moderating coastal temperatures. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns, projecting a daytime maximum near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, with low confidence in exceeding 27°C due to stable high-pressure influence suppressing convective heating. Historical March 21 data shows an average high of 25°C with rare outliers above 30°C, amplifying model-implied odds; subtle divergences arise from sea breeze timing and cloud cover variability, explaining the tight 24-27°C cluster while sidelining hotter extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 21 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 21 mars ?
24°C ou moins 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
27°C 17%
24°C ou moins
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
17%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
1%
24°C ou moins 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
27°C 17%
24°C ou moins
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
17%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mild highs of 24-26°C for Buenos Aires on March 21, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 25-26°C peaks amid persistent southerly winds moderating coastal temperatures. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns, projecting a daytime maximum near 26°C under partly cloudy skies, with low confidence in exceeding 27°C due to stable high-pressure influence suppressing convective heating. Historical March 21 data shows an average high of 25°C with rare outliers above 30°C, amplifying model-implied odds; subtle divergences arise from sea breeze timing and cloud cover variability, explaining the tight 24-27°C cluster while sidelining hotter extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes