Traders overwhelmingly back 28°C or below (73%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 21, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a maximum of 26-28°C under partly cloudy skies from a lingering western disturbance. This cool spell bucks the typical late-March average high of 30-32°C, as cooler northerly winds suppress daytime heating, per recent upper-air data. Historical records show March 21 peaks rarely exceed 35°C, but current satellite imagery confirms reduced solar insolation. Ensemble model consensus has tightened odds against 29°C+ outcomes (27% combined), with no heatwave signals; watch IMD's evening update for final tweaks to these market-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 21?
28°C or below 77%
29°C 10%
31°C 5%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
77%
29°C
10%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
28°C or below 77%
29°C 10%
31°C 5%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
77%
29°C
10%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 28°C or below (73%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 21, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a maximum of 26-28°C under partly cloudy skies from a lingering western disturbance. This cool spell bucks the typical late-March average high of 30-32°C, as cooler northerly winds suppress daytime heating, per recent upper-air data. Historical records show March 21 peaks rarely exceed 35°C, but current satellite imagery confirms reduced solar insolation. Ensemble model consensus has tightened odds against 29°C+ outcomes (27% combined), with no heatwave signals; watch IMD's evening update for final tweaks to these market-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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