Current India Meteorological Department forecasts point to a daytime high of 31-32°C in Lucknow on March 23, fueling trader consensus with 58% odds on 31°C or below and 30% on exactly 32°C, as northerly winds and lingering winter moisture suppress typical early-spring warming. Recent observations show maxima of 29-30°C over the past week, below the March historical average of 32°C, amid minimal solar insolation from partial cloud cover. No heatwave signals in ensemble models from IMD and ECMWF, though afternoon convection could nudge peaks higher; real-time airport data will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 56%
32°C 30%
33°C 10%
35°C 2.1%
$124,093 Vol.
$124,093 Vol.
31°C or below
56%
32°C
30%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 56%
32°C 30%
33°C 10%
35°C 2.1%
$124,093 Vol.
$124,093 Vol.
31°C or below
56%
32°C
30%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current India Meteorological Department forecasts point to a daytime high of 31-32°C in Lucknow on March 23, fueling trader consensus with 58% odds on 31°C or below and 30% on exactly 32°C, as northerly winds and lingering winter moisture suppress typical early-spring warming. Recent observations show maxima of 29-30°C over the past week, below the March historical average of 32°C, amid minimal solar insolation from partial cloud cover. No heatwave signals in ensemble models from IMD and ECMWF, though afternoon convection could nudge peaks higher; real-time airport data will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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