India Meteorological Department forecasts pinpoint a maximum temperature of 32°C for Lucknow on March 24, anchoring the market's leading 34% implied probability amid partly cloudy conditions that temper solar insolation compared to clearer skies favoring 33°C (23%). Trader consensus weighs 31°C or below at 24.5%, reflecting ensemble model divergences—ECMWF simulations incorporate potential northerly winds cooling the boundary layer, while GFS highlights lingering heat advection from recent highs. March climatology averages 32-34°C maxima, amplified by Lucknow's urban heat island, but low humidity and diurnal cycle uncertainties keep outcomes tightly matched; monitor IMD's afternoon bulletin for pivotal updates as peak heating unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 24 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 24 mars ?
31°C ou moins 35%
32°C 34%
34°C 25%
33°C 23%
31°C ou moins
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
17%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
13%
38°C
10%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C ou plus
2%
31°C ou moins 35%
32°C 34%
34°C 25%
33°C 23%
31°C ou moins
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
17%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
13%
38°C
10%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts pinpoint a maximum temperature of 32°C for Lucknow on March 24, anchoring the market's leading 34% implied probability amid partly cloudy conditions that temper solar insolation compared to clearer skies favoring 33°C (23%). Trader consensus weighs 31°C or below at 24.5%, reflecting ensemble model divergences—ECMWF simulations incorporate potential northerly winds cooling the boundary layer, while GFS highlights lingering heat advection from recent highs. March climatology averages 32-34°C maxima, amplified by Lucknow's urban heat island, but low humidity and diurnal cycle uncertainties keep outcomes tightly matched; monitor IMD's afternoon bulletin for pivotal updates as peak heating unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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