Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 24 centers on ensemble weather model forecasts clustering around 52-54°F, with 54°F or higher at 38.5% reflecting optimism for weak high-pressure ridging aloft that could thin marine stratus clouds and allow more solar heating. NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread of 48-55°F, driven by a moderating Puget Sound inflow and lingering Pacific low-pressure influences suppressing extremes; the 50-51°F (30%) and 52-53°F (27%) bins capture this uncertainty, while cooler 48-49°F (27%) accounts for persistent cloud decks. Recent 12z model runs nudged probabilities upward for warmer outcomes amid drying mid-level air, contrasting March's typical 54°F average high. Key watch: evening soundings for inversion strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
54°F or higher 39%
50-51°F 30%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 22%
35°F or below
1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
4%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
27%
54°F or higher
39%
54°F or higher 39%
50-51°F 30%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 22%
35°F or below
1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
4%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
27%
54°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 24 centers on ensemble weather model forecasts clustering around 52-54°F, with 54°F or higher at 38.5% reflecting optimism for weak high-pressure ridging aloft that could thin marine stratus clouds and allow more solar heating. NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread of 48-55°F, driven by a moderating Puget Sound inflow and lingering Pacific low-pressure influences suppressing extremes; the 50-51°F (30%) and 52-53°F (27%) bins capture this uncertainty, while cooler 48-49°F (27%) accounts for persistent cloud decks. Recent 12z model runs nudged probabilities upward for warmer outcomes amid drying mid-level air, contrasting March's typical 54°F average high. Key watch: evening soundings for inversion strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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