Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 23 hinges on the latest National Weather Service ensemble forecasts, which cluster around 50-53°F under partly cloudy skies with light onshore flow moderating marine air from Puget Sound. Leading probabilities favor 50-51°F (38.5%) over 52-53°F (30.5%) due to recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF emphasizing persistent low-level stratus clouds capping highs below 52°F, while 48-49°F (20.5%) reflects downside risk from thicker marine layer. Historical March data shows Seattle averages 54-56°F highs, but current jet stream positioning favors cooler anomalies; watch afternoon updates for shifts in boundary layer mixing that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1-2°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 23 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 23 mars ?
50-51°F 37%
52-53 °F 31%
48-49°F 14%
54-55°F 10%
41°F ou moins
1%
42-43 °F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
37%
52-53 °F
31%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
2%
58-59 °F
1%
60°F ou plus
<1%
50-51°F 37%
52-53 °F 31%
48-49°F 14%
54-55°F 10%
41°F ou moins
1%
42-43 °F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
37%
52-53 °F
31%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
2%
58-59 °F
1%
60°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 23 hinges on the latest National Weather Service ensemble forecasts, which cluster around 50-53°F under partly cloudy skies with light onshore flow moderating marine air from Puget Sound. Leading probabilities favor 50-51°F (38.5%) over 52-53°F (30.5%) due to recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF emphasizing persistent low-level stratus clouds capping highs below 52°F, while 48-49°F (20.5%) reflects downside risk from thicker marine layer. Historical March data shows Seattle averages 54-56°F highs, but current jet stream positioning favors cooler anomalies; watch afternoon updates for shifts in boundary layer mixing that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1-2°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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