Traders overwhelmingly favor 28°C (42% implied probability) as Taipei's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by the Central Weather Administration's latest guidance forecasting peaks of 27-29°C amid a persistent high-pressure system fostering clear skies and solar insolation. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with March 22 highs at 26°C and March 23 models eyeing 27°C, boosting sentiment for upper-20s outcomes like 26°C (25.5%) and 27°C (21.5%). Subtropical boundary layer stability minimizes cooling advections, though sea breezes pose minor uncertainty; ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align above March norms of 24-25°C, with lower probabilities for extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 24?
28°C 49%
26°C 26%
27°C 22%
25°C 16%
21°C or below
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
13%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
42%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
7%
28°C 49%
26°C 26%
27°C 22%
25°C 16%
21°C or below
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
13%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
42%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor 28°C (42% implied probability) as Taipei's highest temperature on March 24, propelled by the Central Weather Administration's latest guidance forecasting peaks of 27-29°C amid a persistent high-pressure system fostering clear skies and solar insolation. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with March 22 highs at 26°C and March 23 models eyeing 27°C, boosting sentiment for upper-20s outcomes like 26°C (25.5%) and 27°C (21.5%). Subtropical boundary layer stability minimizes cooling advections, though sea breezes pose minor uncertainty; ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align above March norms of 24-25°C, with lower probabilities for extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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