Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 74-79°F for Los Angeles' March 24 high temperature, reflecting convergence in latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range under a developing high-pressure ridge over the Southwest. National Weather Service guidance centers on 76°F at LAX, but differentiation hinges on boundary-layer dynamics: persistent coastal marine stratus from weak onshore flow could cap highs at 74-75°F, while enhanced subsidence and lighter winds favor 78-79°F burn-off by midday. Historical March 24 averages hover at 72°F, with current setup 2-4°F above normal; traders eye 12z model runs for shifts in 850mb temperatures and cloud cover resolving the razor-thin odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
74-75°F 11%
76-77°F 10%
80-81°F 10%
82-83°F 9%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
3%
74-75°F 11%
76-77°F 10%
80-81°F 10%
82-83°F 9%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 74-79°F for Los Angeles' March 24 high temperature, reflecting convergence in latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range under a developing high-pressure ridge over the Southwest. National Weather Service guidance centers on 76°F at LAX, but differentiation hinges on boundary-layer dynamics: persistent coastal marine stratus from weak onshore flow could cap highs at 74-75°F, while enhanced subsidence and lighter winds favor 78-79°F burn-off by midday. Historical March 24 averages hover at 72°F, with current setup 2-4°F above normal; traders eye 12z model runs for shifts in 850mb temperatures and cloud cover resolving the razor-thin odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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